Will Google still be the most popular search engine at the end of 2024?
Will Google still be the most popular search engine at the end of 2024?
116
2kṀ17k
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES

Includes chatbots like ChatGPT, or hybrid approaches. Basically any computer program that people use to find out general facts about the world.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ146
2Ṁ131
3Ṁ67
4Ṁ65
5Ṁ50


Sort by:
1y
1y
1y

@NoaNabeshima This is not really a fair comparison (googling chatgpt makes more sense than googling google) but chatgpt search trend is still growing. It won't catch up with google as a search trend this year if it keeps growing at this rate I think.

1y

I'm already on DDG so this feels plausible to me

2y

This seems to have a wrong closing date: Jan 2, 2024. Rather than, like, Dec 31, 2024

2y

@42irrationalist Fixed, thank you.

predictedNO 2y

How does this resolve if another Alphabet product is the most popular?

2y

@MartinRandall If it's something Google turned into, that counts. If it's a distinct product that outcompetes Google, that doesn't count.

2y

ChatGPT is already beating Google for some cases for me.

2y

@IsaacKing How will this be resolved?

2y

@JuJumper Correctly!

2y

@IsaacKing In the US, China, world as a whole? According to what source?

2y

@JuJumper Worldwide. According to the best source I can find.

2y
Comment hidden

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules