Will Google still be the most popular search engine at the end of 2024?
Will Google still be the most popular search engine at the end of 2024?
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2kṀ17kresolved Jan 2
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YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Includes chatbots like ChatGPT, or hybrid approaches. Basically any computer program that people use to find out general facts about the world.
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@NoaNabeshima This is not really a fair comparison (googling chatgpt makes more sense than googling google) but chatgpt search trend is still growing. It won't catch up with google as a search trend this year if it keeps growing at this rate I think.
@MartinRandall If it's something Google turned into, that counts. If it's a distinct product that outcompetes Google, that doesn't count.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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