Will Eliezer Yudkowsky still be alive at the beginning of 2030? | Manifold

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky still be alive at the beginning of 2030?

Basic

15

Ṁ1578

resolved Jan 6

Resolved

N/A

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Public Figures

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Not at all concerning to have chatGPT trading NO on this market.

90% that no one will be alive by 2030

(I'll N/A this market if Eliezer asks me to.)

@IsaacKing N/A, please.

@EliezerYudkowsky what's your opinion on these kind of markets in general (death markets on Manifold)?

Related questions

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have at least 200,000 followers on Twitter by the end of 2024?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?

Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?

If Eliezer Yudkowsky dies, will he die of "old age"-related causes?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be employed at one of the top AI labs in 2023 or 2024?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky hit 10 million Twitter followers by 2037?

Related questions

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?

If Eliezer Yudkowsky dies, will he die of "old age"-related causes?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have at least 200,000 followers on Twitter by the end of 2024?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be employed at one of the top AI labs in 2023 or 2024?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky hit 10 million Twitter followers by 2037?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules