
Partially inspired by @CarsonGale's /CarsonGale/will-anyone-on-twitter-make-a-credi
Recently a bunch of people have accused me of being biased in my favor on a market of mine. All of these claims that I've seen so far have been pretty easy to dismiss; they're made with inflammatory language, coming from people who already don't like me, and the factual claims often make no sense. (e.g. claiming that I made a decision to benefit myself as a trader when in fact that descision harms me.)
But obviously I must be biased in many ways, and I'd appreciate it if people voiced any such suspicions they have so that I can become more aware of those biases. (I just mean in general, not necessarily about that market in particular.) I'll never (or at least I aspire not to) take offense to a good faith notification of "hey, I think you may be engaging in motivated reasoning. Here's my evidence for that". In case it wasn't obvious, I hereby give permission to anyone on Manifold to bring up such a concern.
If there seems to be disageement over whether a certain accusation was made in good faith, I'll delegate the decision to a vote among non-me trustworthyish users.
š Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | į¹7 | |
2 | į¹6 | |
3 | į¹5 | |
4 | į¹4 | |
5 | į¹0 |
@IsaacKing Yeah, I did say that I thought you were rationalizing. Iām less sure of it now, but I did believe it was reasonably likely when I said it, so it was good-faith.
@CarsonGale I guess that would count, sure. I'd be concerned that someone making such an "accusation" isn't doing it in good faith though; I've seen some communities where it's common for people to talk about how they're biased against themselves, and their friends rush in to affirm this statement, when in reality it's just an attempt to increase their status via fake humility.
@SimonGrayson No, it could equally well be accusing Tornado of bias. All it shows is that Tornado and I have different judgement on what counts as good faith.
@JosephNoonan Needs to be specific and useful, not just "you're a human therefore you have recency bias".