Will anyone in the United States be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?
Plus
39
Ṁ2423Jan 1
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://futureoflife.org/video/slaughterbots/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/STM_Kargu
Must be capable of killing one person in a crowd, in a person-sized attack.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a civilian be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will a fully autonomous AI-powered US military drone kill a human being without express human direction before 2025?
10% chance
Will an AI model kill, or be used by/enable a non-state actor to kill, a US citizen/resident by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
28% chance
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
61% chance
Will a disaster occur related to the "drones" before end of 2024?
4% chance
Will there be a drone terror attack that kills at least 1 person in the United States before 2026?
41% chance
Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2035?
42% chance
Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2024?
11% chance