
Will anyone in the United States be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?
39
1kṀ2423resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://futureoflife.org/video/slaughterbots/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/STM_Kargu
Must be capable of killing one person in a crowd, in a person-sized attack.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ107 | |
2 | Ṁ38 | |
3 | Ṁ24 | |
4 | Ṁ14 | |
5 | Ṁ9 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?
18% chance
Will there be a drone terror attack that kills at least 1 person in the United States before 2026?
25% chance
Will an AI model kill, or be used by/enable a non-state actor to kill, a US citizen/resident by the end of 2024?
8% chance
[Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
21% chance
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
27% chance
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will someone kill an AI researcher to save the world by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will there be an attack on US civilians committed primarily with drones with >9 casualties before 2031?
56% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2026?
17% chance
Will the US regulate AI development by end of 2025?
28% chance