Will any of my markets get me a cease-and-desist or legal threat by 2030?
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18
Ṁ588
2030
13%
chance

Mostly copied from here.

Resolves Yes if any of my Manifold markets result in being sent a legal threat, or a cease-and-desist.

It must seem reasonably credible. It should probably be written in a way that seems compatible with communications being admissible to court (as opposed to "imma sue yo ass" or obvious trolling).

It doesn't count if they only ask me to take down the market -- they must legally threaten me over the market.

Any medium of contact can count, DMs, etc.

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predicts NO

Lol

predicts YES

@IsaacKing This seems to “be written in a way that seems compatible with communications being admissible to court”

predicts NO

@Alana It's not credible. It's obviously being done to manipulate this market, I don't expect them to follow through on the threat, and there are no plausible legal grounds they could use for that anyway.

Is it legal to send C&D’s without any proper cause?

predicts NO

@Alana I mean, legally, they're just strongly-worded letters

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