Will any astronomical object with redshift >= 20 be observed before 2030?
2
100Ṁ112030
54%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_most_distant_astronomical_objects
Only objects count, and only those that can unambiguously be said to have been observed. If there's ambiguity over whether something should count, I'll go by the Wikipedia page's judgement after it looks like any active debate about it has died down.
The current highest as of market creation is z=14.32. For comparison, the CMBR has z=1089, which is the upper limit on how old an observable object can be.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a new interstellar object be observed inside the solar system in 2025 ?
23% chance
Quantum Telescopes by 2030?
31% chance
Will we discover a black hole in our solar system before 2030?
5% chance
Will we discover aliens before 2030
14% chance
Will a gravitational wave signal be observed from a Thorne-Żytkow object by 2040?
36% chance
Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?
61% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2030?
12% chance
Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?
12% chance
Will there be ≥20k confirmed exoplanets by EoY 2030?
58% chance
Will we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?
16% chance