Text diffusion models will hit the mainstream in 2026 | Manifold

Text diffusion models will hit the mainstream in 2026

8

Ṁ1kṀ655

Jan 12

53%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026

It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors. If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.

Venture Capital

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

subvocal communication will be a thing by the end of the decade

-19% 1d31% chance

Will LLMs be generally able to produce human-level text in 2026?

Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027?

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?

Would keyboards still be the primary way of text inputs to a computer for a majority of adults in 2030?

AI generated text will be permitted without restriction at all 10 of the highest ranked universities by the end of the decade (<2030)

Related questions

subvocal communication will be a thing by the end of the decade

Will LLMs be generally able to produce human-level text in 2026?

Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027?

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?

Would keyboards still be the primary way of text inputs to a computer for a majority of adults in 2030?

AI generated text will be permitted without restriction at all 10 of the highest ranked universities by the end of the decade (<2030)