On what day of the month will this market resolve?
11
closes Jan 1
17
expected

I'll resolve this market on an arbitrarily-chosen day. Its value will be that day's date.

I will not bet in this market.

Get แน€500 play money

Related questions

Which month will this market resolve in?
Will I resolve a market controversially this year?
Boklam avatarBoklam
35% chance
Will at least one of the "apocalypse markets" be resolved positively after the apocalypse?
Lavander avatarLavander
27% chance
Will this market resolve?
IsaacKing avatarIsaac
93% chance
Will I encounter Issue Number 2 when I resolve this market?
Charlie avatarCharlie
5% chance
Will I encounter Issue Number 1 when I resolve this market?
Charlie avatarCharlie
43% chance
Will I encounter Issue Number 1 when I resolve this market?
Charlie avatarCharlie
43% chance
Will I encounter Issue Number 1 when I resolve this market?
Charlie avatarCharlie
21% chance
Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?
Do people like self-resolving markets?
lag avatarlag
POLL
Will the market "This market should resolve to YES in 2024, but I will not personally resolve it" resolve to YES in 1mo?
GustavoMafra avatarGustavo Mafra
97% chance
Will I misresolve a market in 2023?
Fedor avatarFedor
5% chance
How many of the markets below will resolve YES?
Will a 1Password breach cause this other market to resolve YES?
Radicalia avatarRadicalia
3% chance
Will I encounter Issue Number 1 when I resolve this market?
Charlie avatarCharlie
10% chance
Will my most popular market this year be self-resolving?
JosephNoonan avatarPlasma Ballin'
42% chance
Will I successfully undo the linked market's resolution?
A avatarA
28% chance
How will this market be resolved?
Will I accidently misresolve another market this year?
Boklam avatarBoklam
37% chance
Will I be able to resolve this market to YES with my eyes closed on the instructions of other traders? [M$200 subsidy]
IsaacKing avatarIsaac
75% chance
Sort by:
IsaacKing avatar
Isaac

This is an... interesting result. Why would anyone buy the market further away from today's date?

1 reply
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randallpredicts LOWER

@IsaacKing I figured it was more likely to resolve in a subsequent month, so the mean result was about 16.