AI discourse has a lot of repetitive, terrible arguments, from both sides, often from pretty intelligent people. I was thinking of writing up a list of them along with in-depth rebuttals. Not sure if people would use it though, since presumably most of the people making bad arguments are doing so because they don't want to think too hard or read a lot of text.

This market resolves YES if the post gets more positive engagement than most of my blog posts. For example, 10 people all say "this is cool, I'm going to use this" or similar. Or one popular person says they found it useful. It resolves NO if there's crickets and my effort seems to have been wasted.