Will "A breakdown of AI capability levels focused o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
0
2026
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post A breakdown of AI capability levels focused on AI R&D labor acceleration is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "How AI Takeover Might Happen in 2 Years" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "2023 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Shallow review of technical AI safety, 2024" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Field of AI Alignment: A Postmortem, and ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
28% chance
Will "AI catastrophes and rogue deployments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "things that confuse me about the current AI m..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Introducing AI Lab Watch" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "The case for ensuring that powerful AIs are c..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
88% chance
Will "Me, Myself, and AI: the Situational Awareness..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "A basic systems architecture for AI agents th..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance