Will "Counting arguments provide no evidence for AI..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
0
2026
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Counting arguments provide no evidence for AI doom is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Many arguments for AI x-risk are wrong" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Why Not Just... Build Weak AI Tools For AI Al..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "AIs Will Increasingly Attempt Shenanigans" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "AI: Practical Advice for the Worried" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
31% chance
Will "There should be more AI safety orgs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "There should be more AI safety orgs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "Cognitive Emulation: A Naive AI Safety Proposal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "The Checklist: What Succeeding at AI Safety W..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
36% chance
Will "Deep atheism and AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
42% chance
Will "What I Would Do If I Were Working On AI Gover..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance