How will a plurality of Manifold vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
20
1kṀ1487
resolved Dec 30
100%98%
Democrat
2.0%
Republican
0.0%
Alliance
0.0%
Constitution
0.0%
Green
0.3%
Libertarian
0.0%
An independent candidate

After the election, I will poll Manifold users to ask how they voted, and resolve this market to whichever party got the most votes in that poll.

The poll will not be anonymous, and if I find out that anyone answered the poll differently from how they actually voted, I will consider that dishonorable. Realistically though, I have no way to enforce accurate voting.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ30
2Ṁ16
3Ṁ14
4Ṁ9
5Ṁ6
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy