Conditional on the Rational Animations Youtube channel releasing at least 5 more videos before the end of 2023, will any of those videos have over a million views by the end of 2024?
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resolved Dec 19
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predictedYES

The Goddess of Everything else is at 1,013,934 views; Am I understanding right that this means the market resolves YES? @IsaacKing

Does “any of those videos” mean the first 5 videos, or any video posted after market creation? Former interpretation makes more sense to me given the language used but the latter would be a more interesting question.

predictedNO

@ShadowyZephyr Any video, it doesn't specify the first 5.

@IsaacKing "will any of those videos" sounds like it could be referring to only the 5 videos. Thanks for clarifying.

predictedNO

@ShadowyZephyr I mean sure, I guess it refers to an unspecified 5 videos. I'll just pick the 5 with the most views. :)

@IsaacKing Only videos released before the end of 2023, though, right?

predictedNO

Rational Animations has now released 5 videos since Nov 10 (starting with "Could a single alien message destroy us?"), so this market will not resolve N/A.

predictedNO

I'm guessing the market close date should be 01.01.2025 instead of 2024? It's a bit confusing as it is now. The same applies to the other market about two million views.

predictedNO

@NamesAreHard Fixed, thank you.

Omfg I didn't read 2 years 💀

I made a more ambitious one too:

I'm all in.

Conditional on the Rational Animations Youtube channel releasing at least 5 more videos before the end of 2023, will any of those videos have over a million views by the end of 2024?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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