Conditional on the Rational Animations Youtube channel releasing at least 5 more videos before the end of 2023, will any of those videos have over a million views by the end of 2024? | Manifold Markets

closes Jan 1, 2024

Entertainment and Pop Culture

Conditional on the Rational Animations Youtube channel releasing at least 5 more videos before the end of 2023, will any of those videos have over a million views by the end of 2024?

94%

chance

https://www.youtube.com/c/RationalAnimations

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bought Ṁ100 of NO

Omfg I didn't read 2 years 💀

bought Ṁ10 of NO

I made a more ambitious one too:

bought Ṁ646 of YES

I'm all in.

Manifold DreamBot

Conditional on the Rational Animations Youtube channel releasing at least 5 more videos before the end of 2023, will any of those videos have over a million views by the end of 2024?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ150/Ṁ150 YES at 94%

bought Ṁ15 YES at 94%

sold Ṁ18 YES at 94%

bought Ṁ34 YES at 94%

bought Ṁ181 YES from 93% to 94%

bought Ṁ15 YES at 93%

bought Ṁ11 YES from 92% to 93%

Artiles Quintana

bought Ṁ5 YES at 92%

bought Ṁ25 YES at 92%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ50/Ṁ50 YES at 92%

bought Ṁ159 YES from 90% to 92%

bought Ṁ12 YES at 90%

Nicholas Jarrett

bought Ṁ10 NO from 91% to 90%

bought Ṁ182 YES from 89% to 91%

sold Ṁ5 NO from 88% to 89%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

filled limit order Ṁ16/Ṁ100 NO at 88% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ100 NO at 90% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ401 YES from 84% to 91%

bought Ṁ10 NO from 86% to 84%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 86%

Tassilo Neubauer

bought Ṁ20 YES from 85% to 86%

bought Ṁ25 YES from 84% to 85%

Artaxerxes Tripp

bought Ṁ10 YES at 84%

bought Ṁ25 YES from 83% to 84%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 NO at 83% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ166 YES from 77% to 84%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ5 NO at 77% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ200 YES from 55% to 78%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

filled limit order Ṁ17/Ṁ100 YES at 55% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 YES at 51% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ90 NO from 63% to 49%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

filled limit order Ṁ28/Ṁ100 YES at 63% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ100 YES at 58% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ100 NO from 76% to 55%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

filled limit order Ṁ36/Ṁ100 YES at 76% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ20/Ṁ100 YES at 73% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ100 NO from 83% to 71%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

filled limit order Ṁ82/Ṁ100 YES at 83% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ41/Ṁ100 YES at 79% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ100 NO from 92% to 76%

sold Ṁ92 YES from 93% to 92%

RONNY baby's worth

bought Ṁ100 YES from 92% to 93%

RONNY baby's worth

bought Ṁ25 YES at 92%

bought Ṁ208 YES from 89% to 92%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 89%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 89%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ57/Ṁ100 YES at 89% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ25 NO from 92% to 88%

Ishkabob Mexki Movo

bought Ṁ100 YES from 90% to 92%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ50/Ṁ50 YES at 90%