https://www.youtube.com/c/RationalAnimations
Any video released from Nov 18, 2022 to December 31 2023 qualifies.
Been keeping track of the video for a while.
https://youtu.be/Bbwp4PbWYzw?si=NaaYJRTHOfi_Nlog
1 year to go from 800k to 2 million views. (Needs to average 3k per day).
8 Nov 23: 805k views
9 Nov 23: 810k views
10 Nov 23: 816k views (posted 120 days ago= 7k views per day on average)
14 Nov 23: 833k (4k per day since 10th)
15 Nov 23: 837k
16 Nov 23: 843k (3.5k per day to reach 1m by end of year)
17 nov 23: 849k
18 nov 23: 855k
20 Nov 23: 866
21 Nov 23: 869
22 Nov 23: 872
25 Nov 23: 893 (~4k per day) (2.9k to reach 1m by end of year)
26 Nov 23: 905
28 Nov 23: 917 (6k per day)
30 Nov 23: 927 (10k per day)
5 Dec 23: 956 (6k per day)
9 Dec 23: 976 (5k per day)
11 Dec 23: 986 (3k per day)
18 Dec 23: 1016 (4k per day)
21 Dec 23: 1027 (3k per day)
31 Dec 23: 1059 (3k per day)
9 Jan 24: 1088 (3k per day)
Needs to average 2.6k per day to get 2 mill by end of 2024
20 Jan 24: 1131 (4k per day)
5 feb 24: 1188 (3.5k per day)
11 Feb 24: 1203 (2.5k per day)
24 Feb 24: 1249 (3.5k per day)
The condition has been met with many more than 5 videos released, so I've edited the title to be simpler.
As of right now, the most-viewed qualifying video is The Goddess of Everything Else, with 980,000 views.
@Timothy the big no holders were buying NO while the yes holders had a big limit order in place, so their bets didn't move the market price
@Timothy There were no YES limit orders, it's just that we were waiting for Writer to buy into our NO limit orders at 90%+ and that's how we accumulated our positions.
@NamesAreHard that makes sense. I knew there were limit orders involved but didn't check the bet history to confirm whose they were
@BraulioValdivielsoMartine Hmm, the owner of the YouTube channel seems to be the only major Yes holder.
@BraulioValdivielsoMartine they might release another video before end of 2023 that goes viral in a big way, or one of the existing videos might make the rounds. I've been on no, but not certain enough about the chances to bet it far down
@braulios The owner of the channel seemed happy to buy YES at any probability, so there was no reason to bet it down anywhere close to the actual probability when we could get cheap NO shares at 85%+ :)