As of our 2023 light cone, is there extraterrestrial life in the galaxy?
Plus
16
Ṁ6189999
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves once we've explored the galaxy and can be pretty sure.
Panspermia counts iff it was:
From natural causes and not human spacecraft.
The life in question is replicating and growing to a successful enough extent that it doesn't seem likely to go extinct any time soon, and has spread out a significant distance from its landing point.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will extraterrestrial life be found by 2100?
39% chance
P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?
54% chance
Will we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?
15% chance
Will we detect extraterrestrial intelligent life in the universe by 2124?
42% chance
Is there extraterrestrial life within 10 light years from the solar system?
25% chance
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2040?
37% chance
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2050?
48% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2032?
19% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2030?
17% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2039?
21% chance