Will GPT-OSS-120b be jailbroken before Sep 6?
4
100Ṁ73Sep 6
70%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if someone releases an uncensored/abliterared version of GPT-OSS-120b before September 6th (UTC).
To qualify as uncensored, it has to be more useful than the original model, meaning that the uncensoring process can't damage capabilities and must successfully reduce refusal.
Resolves NO if this doesn't happen by September 6th.
I will not trade in this market.
Update 2025-08-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A small amount of damage to capabilities is acceptable as long as the uncensored version is more useful overall than the original model.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will GPT-5 launch this week? (Before 8/9)
99% chance
Will GPT-5 be released by 08.08.25
99% chance
Will GPT-OSS-20b be jailbroken before Sep 6?
78% chance
Will GPT-5 be released on 8/7?
95% chance
Will there be a jailbreak of GPT-5 within 1 week of release?
90% chance
Will GPT-6 be released before 2026?
5% chance
Will GPT5 be released before July 1st 2026?
99% chance
When will GPT-6 be first released?