
Currently (28.II.23), presidential elections in Russia are scheduled to be held on 17th of March, 2024.
This market will be resolved to:
YES -- if on 31st of December, 2024, 23:59 UTC Vladimir V. Putin is considered (by other russian officials) to be the President (more generally -- head of state) of Russian Federation.
NO -- the conditions in YES are met for a person other than Vladimir V. Putin.
N/A -- any other outcome
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Based on the results of the elections to the State Duma in 2021, it became clear that the innovation called Remote Electronic Voting covers up all real votes on printed ballots. With the help of this tool, it has become much easier to falsify elections, which has been used more than once in elections at various levels. Therefore, the result of the 2024 Russian presidential elections is very predictable - Putin will remain in power.
He cares about his health above all else, and does not allow anyone closer than a few meters, not even his officials. His life does not appear to be in danger. So, I bet yes



As a Russian I am betting yes for two reasons:
— It's suicidal for Putin to not run for power. He is currently controlling everything. He keeps his power by default and something unusual has to happen in order for him to lose power.
— Either I win by betting YES on this market or I win by not having my country run by a dictator. Losing would feel sweet.
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