Will Vladimir Putin die in any way by 2024?
13%
chance

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MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
bought Ṁ80 of NO

If he gets through this war he's not going to do something else this risky before 2023 ends.

Endovior avatar
Endovior
bought Ṁ50 of YES

He's old, in poor health (reportedly), and in a precarious political position. It wouldn't be surprising.

Gigacasting avatar
Gigacasting
bought Ṁ50 of NO

He's old, in poor health (reportedly), and in a precarious political position.

And even his base rate is much lower than 1.5% per month.

Ibozz91 avatar
ZiquaftyNny avatar
Ziquafty Nny
is predicting YES at 18%

@Gigacasting There is a difference between being old and having cancer.

Yev avatar
Yev
bought Ṁ10 of NO
belikewater avatar
belikewater
bought Ṁ10 of NO

The only reason he's still alive is that he's very careful. Even if he loses power, I think he'd end up in jail. Death by natural causes is always possible, but unlikely.