Will Vladimir Putin die in any way by 2024?
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Sort by:
If he gets through this war he's not going to do something else this risky before 2023 ends.
He's old, in poor health (reportedly), and in a precarious political position. It wouldn't be surprising.

He's old, in poor health (reportedly), and in a precarious political position.
And even his base rate is much lower than 1.5% per month.


The only reason he's still alive is that he's very careful. Even if he loses power, I think he'd end up in jail. Death by natural causes is always possible, but unlikely.
YES shares
1,960
1,358
1,339
644
571
503
456
378
355
331
272
263
244
229
206
151
115
NO shares
1,859
1,845
1,045
1,039
802
529
500
375
280
270
120
84





















