Will AI reach human-level performance in Magic: The Gathering before 2024?
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2kṀ24kresolved Jan 1
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This market resolves positively if either of the following is true:
1. Someone publishes a paper where AI estimated ELO in at least top 10%, with player pool of at least 50 players. The games should be played by rules one of the officially recognized MTG formats and players should not be restricted in their deck choice any further than the format requires.
2. AI gets at least third place in any official MTG tournament with at least 50 players.
3. AI reaches the top 100 rank in MTG Arena.
Edit: Human-designed decks for AI are allowed for the purpose of this question.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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