When will the median software engineer working today be unemployable due to AI?
Plus
17
Ṁ6122040
2,033.74
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
When will the median software engineer employed today be unemployable in any job where they earn more than average due to their skills/experience as a software engineer.
If the job description changes a lot (e.g. instead of writing code, they manage an army of robot coders), that's fine as long they're still benefiting from their software development experience and earning substantially more than somebody who didn't have such experience.
Resolves based on my judgement. I won't trade in this market.
If it hasn't happened by 2040, resolves to the 2037-2040 bucket.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will some U.S. software engineers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
71% chance
Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2029?
45% chance
Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?
75% chance
Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2027?
25% chance
Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2025?
31% chance
Will there be entry-level AI coders by 2026?
61% chance
Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
19% chance
AI for AI 1: By when will there be an AI that can do "intern-level" ML engineering?
Will AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?
20% chance
Will Automation by AI Cut Computer Programmer Jobs at least 25% by 2032?
38% chance