Which of the following parties will be in office on December 31, 2028?

2.3kṀ5075

2029

97%

CCP (China)

93%

PAP (Singapore)

90%

BJP (India)

83%

CDU (Germany)

82%

United Russia (Russia)

80%

LDP (Japan)

75%

Labour (UK)

73%

Fidesz (Hungary)

60%

DPP (Taiwan)

60%

PSUV (Venezuela)

58%

AKP (Turkey)

50%

Brothers of Italy (Italy)

50%

TDP (Turkmenistan)

45%

PT (Brazil)

44%

Republican Party (USA)

43%

DPK (South Korea)

38%

PSOE (Spain)

38%

PFDJ (Eritrea)

32%

Renaissance (France)

31%

Likud (Israel)

Resolves to YES if the party is in power by on December 31, 2028.

Resolves to YES if the party is part of the ruling coalition, even if the incumbent president/PM is from a different party.

Update 2025-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria
- Parliamentary Systems: The resolution depends on whether the party is part of the incumbent parliamentary coalition on 12/31/2028.
- Presidential or Semi-Presidential Systems: The outcome will be based on the president’s coalition on 12/31/2028.
- Russia’s Specific Case: The resolution will be determined by the parties included in the cabinet of Russia on 12/31/2028.

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bought Ṁ1 NO

So is parliamentary majority the specific thing being measured here? If you lose parliamentary majority and retain the head of state, is that still being in office?

@marvingardens This depends on whether the president is a ceremonial figure. In a parliamentary system, the resolution depends on whether the party is part of the incumbent parliamentary coalition on 12/31/2028. In a presidential or semi-presidential system, the question will resolve based on the president's coalition. In Russia's specific case, it would resolve based on the parties included in the cabinet of Russia on 12/31/2028. I am open to discussing this criteria, but I believe any ambiguous cases are very unlikely to occur. (Mikhail Mishustin's Second Cabinet - Wikipedia).