Resolves to YES if the party is in power by on December 31, 2028.
Resolves to YES if the party is part of the ruling coalition, even if the incumbent president/PM is from a different party.
Update 2025-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria
Parliamentary Systems: The resolution depends on whether the party is part of the incumbent parliamentary coalition on 12/31/2028.
Presidential or Semi-Presidential Systems: The outcome will be based on the president’s coalition on 12/31/2028.
Russia’s Specific Case: The resolution will be determined by the parties included in the cabinet of Russia on 12/31/2028.
1,000@marvingardens This depends on whether the president is a ceremonial figure. In a parliamentary system, the resolution depends on whether the party is part of the incumbent parliamentary coalition on 12/31/2028. In a presidential or semi-presidential system, the question will resolve based on the president's coalition. In Russia's specific case, it would resolve based on the parties included in the cabinet of Russia on 12/31/2028. I am open to discussing this criteria, but I believe any ambiguous cases are very unlikely to occur. (Mikhail Mishustin's Second Cabinet - Wikipedia).