When will the United States end Juvenile Life Without Parole (JLWOP) sentencing?
Basic
9
Ṁ256
2070
67%
Before 2070
59%
Before 2050
59%
Before 2060
32%
Before 2040
15%
Before 2030

The USA is currently the only country in the world that sentences people to life in prison without parole for crimes committed before turning 18.

As of February 10th, 2023, 31 states allow JLWOP sentencing, of which 24 states have at least one person actively serving a JLWOP sentence.

Answers resolve to YES once JLWOP sentencing is illegal in every U.S. jurisdiction (including non-contiguous states and territories). A federal moratorium doesn't count unless it is A) explicitly defined as indefinite and B) survives at least one presidential term from two different parties.

Answers resolve to NO if a JLWOP sentence is possible somewhere in the United States on the first day of the decade.

I will not bet on this market.

Other JLWOP markets:

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Not too many traders — opportunity to make some safe bets

Wow that’s terrible

@cc6 lots of optimists on this market so far

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