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MANIFOLD
Will 1X deliver NEO humanoid robots to paying home customers in the US before January 1, 2027?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ45
Dec 31
33%
chance

Resolves YES if, before January 1, 2027, 1X or serious press reports that NEO units have been delivered to paying home customers in the United States. Preorders, deposits, demos, employee or tester programs and press loans don't count. Resolves NO otherwise.

Context: 1X opened NEO preorders at $20,000 (or $499/month) and has said first customer shipments are planned for 2026. As of November 7, 2026, NEO shows "Preorders open", with no verified deliveries, in the Home Humanoid Registry at hugoalder.com/registry. Disclosure: the market creator maintains that registry.

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