Do you think manifold will double it's total number of active users from 1/1/23 to 12/31/23?
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resolved Dec 25
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I've temporarily closed the question because of the ambiguity.

I think this should resolve N/A given the inactive creator. It's a small market, with only 6 traders and M105 in liquidity.

predictedNO

@EvanDaniel I'd have no issue with that.

For what it's worth, the only reason I asked for mod clarification is because it's close enough that which metric is used actually matters! If it wasn't close, I'd have just said "resolves yes/no, regardless of what the creator meant". So yeah, active users basically doubled over 2023.

👋 @Hobert Can you clarify your question in regard to metrics asked about in the comments posted below?


⚠User is possibly inactive.

@Hobert it would be good to define more precisely which metric this market depends on. Monthly active users? Daily active users? Daily active users (7d average)? Without this, people won't know what they're betting on.

You might want to check out https://manifold.markets/stats, for the various metrics Manifold tracks.

@chrisjbillington Also, the value for 1/1/23 in any case, as the stats page does not go back that far.

@Brooster
@Hobert how do you plan to resolve this?

predictedNO

@Brooster I'll be able to calculate the relevant figures and provide a script people can use to verify them, if need be.

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