Will third party candidates combined receive more than 2% of the popular vote?
45
3.1kṀ36k
resolved Dec 19
Resolved
YES

Total of all 3rd party and write in votes in 2024 must be >2.00% to resolve yes. Any Vote that isn't for Harris or Trump is counted.

In 2020 it was 1.96%

in 2016 it was 6.05%

Resolves to data published by https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ once finalized. Will resolve 3 days after the final state has certified (mid December).

Back up resolution: https://www.congress.gov/

Will resolve the same as https://polymarket.com/event/will-2-of-votes-go-to-3rd-party-candidates-in-us-election?tid=1732070283517

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):

  • Market resolves YES if third party vote percentage is >2.00% (any amount above 2%, even 2.0000000001%)

  • Market resolves NO if third party vote percentage is ≤2.00%

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