
Will third party candidates combined receive more than 2% of the popular vote?
45
3.1kṀ36kresolved Dec 19
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Total of all 3rd party and write in votes in 2024 must be >2.00% to resolve yes. Any Vote that isn't for Harris or Trump is counted.
In 2020 it was 1.96%
in 2016 it was 6.05%
Resolves to data published by https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ once finalized. Will resolve 3 days after the final state has certified (mid December).
Back up resolution: https://www.congress.gov/
Will resolve the same as https://polymarket.com/event/will-2-of-votes-go-to-3rd-party-candidates-in-us-election?tid=1732070283517
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):
Market resolves YES if third party vote percentage is >2.00% (any amount above 2%, even 2.0000000001%)
Market resolves NO if third party vote percentage is ≤2.00%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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