What will happen in the third season of the HBO series White Lotus?

(To start betting on season 4 already, use this market.)

• Update 2025-03-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important criteria for resolution:

  • The event must involve physical interaction (not merely a kiss) with an immediate family member

  • The interaction must be a result of sexual attraction

• Update 2025-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Full Frontal Male Nudity Clarification

  • The outcome is determined by whether the male genital is shown in its entirety.

  • The presence or absence of outer thighs is not relevant.

• Update 2025-03-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Adultery Clarification:

  • Relationship Inclusion: Acts of adultery qualify if the individuals are in a relationship, not only in a legal marriage.

  • Examples: This clarification explicitly covers cases involving characters such as Jaclyn, Chloe, Chelsea, and their respective male counterparts.

• Update 2025-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Electronics Theft Clarification:

  • The act must be committed in the spirit of stealing/breaking in (i.e. it is not enough if the subject only hides the act from their family).

  • If a family member is clearly present (as with Pam) during the act, it does not satisfy the intended criteria for covert removal.

• Update 2025-03-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Handjob Clarification:

  • A handjob does not qualify as intercourse.

  • Only full sexual intercourse is considered toward meeting the outcome criteria.

• Update 2025-03-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Named Characters Clarification:

  • Named characters are those whose names are mentioned explicitly during dialogue or who are central to the story.

  • Peripheral characters (e.g., bodyguards) do not count unless their names are referenced in the narrative.