White Lotus Season 3 [Mega independent]
70
8.1kแน€65k
Dec 31
99%
At least one named character dies
99%
Someone commits adultery
99%
Live elephant on screen
99%
Pornchai and Belinda hook up
97%
At least one scene takes place in a buddhist temple
91%
Incest
88%
Lochlan has intercourse
87%
Significant plot development occurs in a church, temple, mosque, or similar
87%
Timothy loses the gun
86%
Group sex with >2 named characters
83%
Chelsea has a third life threatening event (1: armed robbery, 2: snake bite)
76%
At least one character is non-binary gendered
72%
Someone gets fired or quits dramatically
70%
Rickโ€™s father is alive
69%
Mook is accessory to crime
67%
Hotel manager is gay or bi
67%
Fabian gets to perform for the guests
62%
A character will have a religious experience caused by psychedelic drugs
58%
A character misunderstands and inappropriately engages with a spiritual practice
57%
Saxson has intercourse

What will happen in the third season of the HBO series White Lotus?

  • Update 2025-03-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important criteria for resolution:

    • The event must involve physical interaction (not merely a kiss) with an immediate family member

    • The interaction must be a result of sexual attraction

  • Update 2025-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Full Frontal Male Nudity Clarification

    • The outcome is determined by whether the male genital is shown in its entirety.

    • The presence or absence of outer thighs is not relevant.

  • Update 2025-03-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Adultery Clarification:

    • Relationship Inclusion: Acts of adultery qualify if the individuals are in a relationship, not only in a legal marriage.

    • Examples: This clarification explicitly covers cases involving characters such as Jaclyn, Chloe, Chelsea, and their respective male counterparts.

  • Update 2025-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Electronics Theft Clarification:

    • The act must be committed in the spirit of stealing/breaking in (i.e. it is not enough if the subject only hides the act from their family).

    • If a family member is clearly present (as with Pam) during the act, it does not satisfy the intended criteria for covert removal.

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relevant article (not related to resolution, just related to this answer and some hinting at plot continuation). some aggro fans out there ๐Ÿ˜‚

https://www.pedestrian.tv/entertainment/the-white-lotus-season-three-incest-saxon-lochlan/

@shankypanky Pipes is about to get a religious experience. Shock of her life. Straight to Duke.

bought แน€5 YES

@HenriThunberg Please clarify, because Tim does take them out covertly.

@TonyGao oh I guess you're right. I meant in the spirit of stealing/breaking in. In this case, while he hid it from his family, Pam was clearly there so it wasn't that covertly.

Sorry for lack of clarity on my side, but I suggest this remains open.

@BillyBrew noting that Claude and ChatGPT agree upon there needing to be sexual/romantic intent. As part of a bet/peer pressure therefore won't count IMO. That fine with you Billy?

bought แน€6 YES

@HenriThunberg What you do at home is none of my business.

@HenriThunberg Sam Rockwell won an Oscar in 2018 and he was in Episode 5

bought แน€5 NO

@Nikos do you have to be married for cheating to be adultery or does any cheating count?

@Odoacre In a relationship should count no? I would assume this includes Jaclyn, Chloe, Chelsea (and their respective male counterparts).

@HenriThunberg adultery is specifically an extra marital relationship, implying you have to be married to "commit adultery". That's why I'm asking. I'm not sure for example Cloe/Greg should count as they are clearly not married. Rick and Chelsea also are not actually married.

@Odoacre I learned something today, thanks!

bought แน€20 YES

@HenriThunberg it turned out not to matter since the only one who did cheat on their partner was Jaclyn, who is indeed married

Surprise!๐Ÿ˜ณ

@HenriThunberg @Nikos @case This is a solid market, your answers are good and fun. This is the magical kind of market I keep coming back to Manifold for. Great work! If someone could post this to the r/WhiteLotusHBO subreddit without getting their account banned I feel like the amount of traders would be huge. Someone needs to crack that code, it's a matter of discoverability and low-friction participation that could blow this up massively, just need to get it in front of that audience. Maybe @SirSalty can target specific subreddits advertising specific markets if it can't be done organically?

Pamโ€™s revenge

@Predictor haha first I thought this comment was about a gun shooting question, thinking "Where's some good AI video gen slop when you need it".

@Odoacre this should say again, the snakebite in ep3 should not count

bought แน€20 YES

If he doesn't, he's gonna go cuckoo.

@Odoacre does this include any sense in which he doesn't have it in his possession (gets stolen, gives it away, throws it away voluntarily), or just by mistake/misplaced?

@HenriThunberg any situation where he no longer has it.

bought แน€7 NO

@Nikos probably ends hard judging outcome on this. Would you mind cashing out, and being the judge of it?

@Nikos it was frontal male nudity, but I don't think it was full?

@TonyGao I resolved it as YES. I don't think whether we see outer thighs or not is the point here, but whether it shows a male genital in ~its entirety, which was the case.

@HenriThunberg Claude suggestion goes in a similar vein, I think:


bought แน€199 YES

@Nikos Smoking weed is illegal in Thailand. Not the most fun resolution ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ

@HenriThunberg No it's not, as long as he shows he is eligible for it, which I'm sure he did, it is legal to buy. He bought it from a legit cannabis shop, they are all over the place now in touristy places.

@Predictor ah well, this beats my quick google. Then surely the snake thing was illegal one way or another. And I think we're due for more shenanigans. If nothing more illegal happens from him, we can revisit this for potential reresolution if you want?

@HenriThunberg OK, let's see what happens. The snake thing is iffy.

[redacted]

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