What will be true of a future, simpler version of Apple Vision Pro? [Mega market]

Basic

Ṁ1566

2029

95%

Has eye tracking

87%

Has external battery

84%

Has Mac Virtual Display functionality

72%

Comes with only one band, that has a part that goes over the top of your head.

72%

Has built in speakers for audio

66%

Will have a glass front

50%

Sells more than 1 million units in its first year

50%

Priced under $2,000

50%

Has on-device LLM (e.g. through Siri or standalone) integrated

48%

Primarily made of aluminum

38%

Has "Air" in its name

38%

Has an external display (like eyesight)

24%

In consumer hands (anywhere) before April 1st 2025

19%

Is released under another CEO than Tim Cook

18%

Priced under $1000

13%

Will require an iPhone to operate (relies on that for power, compute or storage).

Resolved

N/A

Priced lower than $199

Resolved

N/A

Priced lower than $299

Refers to the first product product that ...
– Is produced by Apple

– Uses VisionOS, or its descendant
– Is "simpler" than a Vision Pro (current 2024 or future versions)
I think and hope defining this won't be hard once it happens. I will change the market name to reflect this change once we know more.

If Apple have not released (in consumer hands) any such product by EOY 2028, this resolves to N/A.

I will not trade in this market.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Apple

#Apple Vision Pro

#Virtual Reality

Get

1,000

and

3.00

4 Comments

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Priced lower than $299

Edit: I'm an idiot

@HenriThunberg $300 just seems too cheap to me for an apple headset. I think the closest current product to that price point would be an apple watch SE which is currently $250. A VR headset seems much more complicated (and thus expensive) than that. The quest 3 is even $500, and apple is usually not one to compete at the low end of prices?

Am I missing something?

@Nikos hahaha yes, you're missing the fact that I accidentally left out a zero in a mindblowingly ridiculous lapsus. Will keep as is, as testament no never trusting myself again.

@HenriThunberg Haha! You really had me doubting myself!

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