I won't trade in this market.
I know it when I see it, but please feel free to ask for clarifications
Official announcement is enough, don't actually have to start selling it. E.g. an individual's interview comment is not enough, needs to be company communication.
To bet on its price (if it happens), use this market:
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ189 | |
| 2 | Ṁ116 | |
| 3 | Ṁ64 | |
| 4 | Ṁ60 | |
| 5 | Ṁ52 |
Evidence from original tweet seems very weak BTW, looks like OAI is using RevenueCat for in app purchase flows and that's where the string is coming from: https://x.com/btibor91/status/1920755087519215695. Priors should be extremely low for this kind of offering as well, since inference costs for models which "power users" want are high and will likely remain high even as efficiencies improve, reasoning means people will demand more tokens.