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MANIFOLD
What will be the 'classic' episodes on the 80,000 Hours podcast from 2023?
7
Ṁ3.3kṀ16k
resolved Mar 6
Resolved
NO
#146 – Robert Long on why large language models like GPT (probably) aren't conscious
Resolved
NO
#147 – Spencer Greenberg on stopping valueless papers from getting into top journals
Resolved
NO
#148 – Johannes Ackva on unfashionable climate interventions that work, and fashionable ones that don't
Resolved
NO
#149 – Tim LeBon on how altruistic perfectionism is self-defeating
Resolved
NO
#150 – Tom Davidson on how quickly AI could transform the world
Resolved
NO
#151 – Ajeya Cotra on accidentally teaching AI models to deceive us
Resolved
NO
#152 – Joe Carlsmith on navigating serious philosophical confusion
Resolved
NO
#153 – Elie Hassenfeld on two big picture critiques of GiveWell's approach, and six lessons from their recent work
Resolved
NO
#154 – Rohin Shah on DeepMind and trying to fairly hear out both AI doomers and doubters
Resolved
NO
#155 – Lennart Heim on the compute governance era and what has to come after
Resolved
NO
#156 – Markus Anderljung on how to regulate cutting-edge AI models
Resolved
NO
#157 – Ezra Klein on existential risk from AI and what DC could do about it
Resolved
NO
#158 – Holden Karnofsky on how AIs might take over even if they're no smarter than humans, and his 4-part playbook for AI risk
Resolved
NO
#159 – Jan Leike on OpenAI's massive push to make superintelligence safe in 4 years or less
Resolved
NO
#160 – Hannah Ritchie on why it makes sense to be optimistic about the environment
Resolved
NO
#162 – Mustafa Suleyman on getting Washington and Silicon Valley to tame AI
Resolved
NO
#161 – Michael Webb on whether AI will soon cause job loss, lower incomes, and higher inequality — or the opposite
Resolved
NO
#163 – Toby Ord on the perils of maximising the good that you do
Resolved
NO
#164 – Kevin Esvelt on cults that want to kill everyone, stealth vs wildfire pandemics, and how he felt inventing gene drives
Resolved
NO
#165 – Anders Sandberg on war in space, whether civilisations age, and the best things possible in our universe

In the last couple of years, in December/January, the 80,000 Podcast has re-posted or re-released a few episodes from previous years and highlighted them as 'classic' episodes.

What episodes will be marked as 'classic' next?

This will resolve YES to 1+ episodes, depending on how many episodes get re-released as 'classics' in the next 'batch'. Ie. from when the next 'classic' episode is (re-)released, until regular (new) episodes are released.

Last year this resolved YES for:

#140 (re-)posted on January 8th 2025 (originally released November 2022)

#134 (re-)posted on January 15th 2025 (originally released July 2022)

#138 (re-)posted on January 22nd 2025 (originally released September 2022)

#132 (re-)posted on January 31st 2025 (originally released June 2022)

#124 (re-)posted on February 7th 2025 (originally released March 2022)

#143 (re-)posted on February 19th 2025 (originally released December 2022)

#139 (re-)posted on February 25th 2025 (originally released October 2022)

Annoyingly in addition to some highlight / compilation / emergency ones there was also one regular podcast episode released in the middle of this batch.

At the end of 2024, 7 episodes originally released in 2022 were marked as 'classic'

At the end of 2023, 4 episodes originally released in 2021 were marked as 'classic'

At the end of 2022, 3 episodes originally released in 2020 were marked as 'classic'

At the end of 2021, 2 episodes originally released in 2019 AND 2 episodes originally released in 2018 were marked as 'classic'

At the end of 2019, 3 episodes originally released in 2018 were marked as 'classic'

Given this pattern, I am setting episodes from 2023 as answers

The deadline may be extended as necessary

  • Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 'classic' episode batch for this market has begun with #142 from December 2022 being re-released first. Note that this episode was not included as an answer option in the market.

  • Update 2026-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has decided to close the market as it is already March, indicating the 'classic' episode batch for 2023 episodes is now considered complete.

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@RS do you want to extend the market or are they done?

@prismatic they really messed us around this year! It's already March so I think we gotta call time on this one

This has begun!


Hilariously they've started with #142 from December 2022…which I didn't include as an option 👀

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