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MANIFOLD
IF Emmett Shear is announced OpenAI CEO, will it be explicitly as an interim solution?
9
Ṁ190Ṁ1.1k
resolved Jan 4
Resolved
N/A

Should be stated in official statement from OpenAI, or an interview by a board member on record. Hearsay, rumors, speculation does not count.

Wording such as temporary, short-term, emergency, interim, ... would all count.

As this market might come down to subjective decisions, I commit to staying out of it.

Resolves YES immediately on a clear-cut case.
Resolves NO if no such thing happens within 14 days of announcement.
Resolves N/A if Emmett is never announced as OpenAI CEO (i.e. even if for other titles or entities).

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Leaning toward N/A resolution on this, per description.
Seems like we never got an official announcement from OpenAI or a board member.

@HenriThunberg In retrospect a market on whether this market would resolve N/A could have been kind of interesting, too. Anyway, glad I sold my shares over the past day

@HenriThunberg It does seem plausible though that an upcoming OpenAI communiqué will say "We thank Emmett Shear for having served as interim CEO" or something similar

> Today I got a call inviting me to consider a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity: to become the interim CEO of @OpenAI.
https://twitter.com/eshear/status/1726526112019382275

@JakobBrunker Especially considering the wild ride this has been so far, I would prefer to stick to my description and wait for an official OpenAI statement on this. Hope that feels OK, hopefully we'll have one soon.

predictedYES

@HenriThunberg Absolutely, I mainly posted this for context rather than to request resolution