US President TV orgasm market > 7% for more than 72 hours before 2030

Basic

Ṁ2224

resolved Dec 8

Resolved

YES

ALL

So I'm the scumbag who created the funniest market on Manifold:

https://manifold.markets/mr22222222/president-of-usa-has-orgasm-on-live

President of USA has orgasm on live TV before 2035

4% chance. Any live video medium will be sufficient, it does not need to be TV. If deepfakes become common, then the video feed has to come from a reputable source.

Admit it, you can't stop laughing either.

If this market stays above 7% for 72 hours any time before 2030, this claim resolves as YES.

Derivatives: why not? Think of it as a credit default swap on your bet that US presidents will continue their 250+ year tradition of not having sex in public.

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bought Ṁ677 YES

User @NinoSchneider bid the market up to 8% and it remained there for over 72 hours. Nice job, Nino. Resolved as YES.

bought Ṁ20 NO

Strong jobs report today makes Democrats, who are less insane, more likely to win 2024 election.

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