4
Will Kurzgesagt release a video specifically about the AI Alignment Problem before the end of 2024?
72
closes 2025
87%
chance

Resolves yes if anytime before end of year 2024 there is a video on the Kurzgesagt YouTube channel that I deem to be about the AI Alignment Problem. It does not have to mention the words "alignment problem" but must describe the same thing.

Sort by:
VictorLi avatar
Victor Li

i rly hope they do, usually the epistemic quality of their videos are quite decent and they're quite trusted by their viewers

Related markets

Will Kurzgesagt release a video on AI alignment before 1st of August, 2023?26%
Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)43%
Will DeepMind publish their alignment plan before 2024?79%
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?77%
Will OpenAI release a technical report on a model designed for AI alignment research? (2024)48%
Will there be realistic AI generated video from natural language descriptions by the start of 2024?52%
Will OpenAI announce a plan to put more focus addressing inner alignment issues before 2024?65%
Will AI create philosophy before 2030?85%
Will there be realistic AI generated video with dialogue by 2024?43%
Will AI solve any of Hilbert's unsolved problems before April of 2025?8%
Will OpenAI release a search engine before 2024? [Read description]81%
Will AI be able to generate an interactive web front-end by the end of 2024?77%
Will OpenAI announce a dedicated grant program for external AI alignment research projects? (2024)51%
Will an AI be able to speedrun any popular video game faster than the human WR by the end of 2024?62%
Will any AI cause an international incident before August 2024?30%
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before 2024?14%
Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033?67%
Will AI outcompete best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2023?15%
AI: Will a video generation model be publicly available by 2024?81%
Will there be at least three new high profile AI systems unveiled by the end of 2023?98%