Will there be a civil war in Germany?
9
100Ṁ3382059
1D
1W
1M
ALL
11%
Before 2060
9%
Before 2050
5%
Before 2040
3%
Before 2030
Definition of civil war: A sustained, organized armed conflict within a state, involving two or more groups, with at least 1,000 battle-related deaths in one year, where one group seeks to overthrow the central government or secede, and the government actively responds with force.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
6% chance
When will there be a civil war in the USA?
Do you think there's a real threat of civil war?
28% chance
Will Germany reintroduce mandatory military/civil service before 2031?
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
14% chance
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
42% chance
Will there be a civil war in Turkey before 2035?
34% chance
Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2025?
49% chance
Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?
9% chance
Will Germany pass a law introducing conscription for 18 year olds by the end of 2025?
4% chance
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
6% chance
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
42% chance
When will there be a civil war in the USA?
Will there be a civil war in Turkey before 2035?
34% chance
Do you think there's a real threat of civil war?
28% chance
Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2025?
49% chance
Will Germany reintroduce mandatory military/civil service before 2031?
Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?
9% chance
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
14% chance
Will Germany pass a law introducing conscription for 18 year olds by the end of 2025?
4% chance