I think the title is clear, but questions are welcome as always.
I do not consider 2nd place an award.
Background
Goodreads Choice Awards
Brandon Sanderson
Reminders
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I did some research for this question after looking at the 2023 edition. I'm lowering this from 33% to 17% for these reasons:
Brandon Sanderson does expect to release a book within the 2024 eligibility period
That book is in a series that has previously been nominated for Best Young Adult Fantasy & Science Fiction
However, I don't think Brandon Sanderson needs or wants an award that could otherwise be used to highlight the career of someone else writing in the same category
And there is strong evidence that he can get nominated and NOT win in this category, with SEVEN previous nominations in the category and ZERO wins
I don't have any reason to believe his fanbase would suddenly care about making him win this award.
I looked for other books planned to release, and the info is not 100% clear. There might be a book releasing in November 2024 but that would probably not be eligible for the 2024 awards.