The market will resolve to 'Yes' if there are official statements or documents from relevant US government authorities confirming continued commitment to the Paris Agreement, and there is no initiation of a formal withdrawal process. This includes, but is not limited to, official communications from the President, the State Department, the Environmental Protection Agency, or other relevant agencies.

The market will resolve to 'No' if, by December 31, 2025, there is evidence of a formal withdrawal process initiation from the Paris Agreement by the United States, or official government statements indicating a shift away from the agreement's commitments.

Note: The market resolution is based on the status as of December 31, 2025. Changes in the US position after this date will not affect the market's outcome.