Will any country attempt to weaponize an asteroid by 2075?
Basic
9
Ṁ520
2075
25%
chance

Resolves to YES if a country or other agent attempts to deflect or otherwise alter the trajectory of an asteroid or other planetary body (with a diameter greater than 20 m) with the goal of harming an adversary.

An "attempt" will be defined as launching a spacecraft with the intent of altering the trajectory of an asteroid towards some adversary. The deflection or spacecraft launch does not need to be successful for a YES resolution. If the country does not explicitly state their intentions, a consensus of reputable sources (e.g., intelligence agencies) will be used for resolution.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

OPA in the house!

predicts YES

@JimAusman beltalowda!

Reading your username and thinking, “Damn, that’d be one big asteroid to send us back *that* far.”

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules