Will SB 1047 survive this legislative session such that the bill makes it to Governor Newsom’s desk? | Manifold

Will SB 1047 survive this legislative session such that the bill makes it to Governor Newsom’s desk?

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resolved Aug 29

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Over the course of the next few months, SB 1047 will be going through the California Assembly, and if it survives, will go to the governor’s office in September to be signed or vetoed.

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bought Ṁ850 YES

Resolves YES https://x.com/scott_wiener/status/1829223848967057581

Pretty sure we have enough info to resolve so I have closed.

I was planning on resolving after the senate vote.

@HWH @NathanpmYoung the other house almost always concurs amendments, but this is an unusual bill, so people aren't absolutely certain this time.

Apologies. My error.

Do we know when they vote?

Would be sometime this week, unsure of exact dates.

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

Arbitrage opportunity vs https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-california-bill-sb-1047-become

Isn’t Zvi’s market about whether it becomes law (as in signed by Newsom)? This market is whether it makes it to Newsom. He could still veto.

Agreed. The difference should reflect the veto possibility.

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Will California AI regulation bill SB 1047 become law this session?

Will Newsom veto SB 1047?

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[Metaculus] Will California Senate Bill 1047, the "Safe and Secure Innovation for Frontier A...d before October 1, 2024?

Who will publicly comment on SB-1047 before EOY 2024?

When will we know the outcome of SB-1047?

If not passed, will there be any open source model that would have been covered by SB 1047, by January 1st 2027?

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Will California law Senate Bill 9 be affirmed as valid law on appeal?

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