Will *neither* Trump nor Harris get 270 votes before 2025? (This is a setup for a "Contingent Election")
Plus
23
Ṁ9042Jan 20
1%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For example, this could happen via a swing state refusing to certify its outcome.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump/Joe Biden get 300 electoral votes in the 2024 election?
99% chance
Will either party hold a trifecta after the 2024 election?
97% chance
Will both Trump and Harris reach 75% on Manifold before the week ends?
7% chance
If Biden drops out in favor of Kamala Harris, will she win the election against Trump?
1% chance
Will either party have a governing trifecta after the 2024 U.S. elections?
97% chance
If Harris wins the 2024 election, will there be another attempted/successful attack on the capitol before July 1, 2025?
36% chance
Conditional on Trump winning will the 2028 election be fairly held?
75% chance
If Harris wins the 2024 election, will her VP pick become president by the 2036 election?
41% chance
Will someone other than Harris or Trump win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
1% chance
For each state, will Harris win the 2024 presidential election if she wins the state?