Manifold Next Word Prediction Model (MNWPM) experiment day 6: "Manifold will always predict that..."
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2.2kṀ24k
resolved Jan 4
100%62%
people
25%
Mira
3%
Artificial
1.3%
Eliezer
0.5%
nothing
0.3%
Donald
2%
there
0.3%
predictions
0.3%
someone
0.3%
Sam
3%
markets
0.5%
Rational Animations
0.9%
AI
0.3%
all
0.3%
any
0.4%Other

Welcome to the Manifold Next Word Prediction Model (MNWPM) experiment day 6.

This is an experiment to see if Manifold Next Word Prediction Model can generate a coherent response to the prompt, "write a ten word sentence".

On each of the previous 5 days I created a market to predict the next word.

So far the response is, "Manifold will always predict that..."

Today, I'm hoping that the level of interest is sufficient that I don't need to provide starting words. (Also I didn't know how to do this before now).

Over the next five days I will create a new market each day to predict the next word in the sentence.

Please add what you think the next word should be and/or vote up the best next word.

Please note, this will resolve to the highest scoring word - it will not resolve to the "Other" that means "an unspecified answer", but anyone may add "other" if the think that should be the next word.

If successful, I will run a series of markets to determine what the prompt should be in experiment 2.

Thank you for participating.

Btw, anything you can do to increase visibility and/or participation would be greatly appreciated.

Day 5 market can be found here:

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Folks, since you voted against this you'll never get to know whether I was thinking of Donald Duck or Knuth! Never!!!

(wait, did you think I had some other Donald in mind?)

WriterboughtṀ450 YES

@Writer Rational Animations is two words.

I don't think that is allowed 😕

@GordanKnott You should edit the option so that it's just the word "rational", and if people really want to they can pick "animations" tomorrow

@Tumbles @Writer rationalussy?

@GordanKnott That was the worst trade deal in the history of trade deals maybe ever

how will this resolve?

@harfe whichever option is highest when they choose to resolve it

tumbles going though the dictionary looking for new words as we speak

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