Will AGI reach mars before humans?
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Will there be computer hardware on mars running AGI before there are humans on mars?

Definition of AGI: for now as a placeholder I will use Metaculus’ criteria for “When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?”.

However, I don’t much like those criteria and would prefer something like “an AI that is as good as a good human at almost all computer-based jobs”. If someone can point me to an existing operationalisation along those lines I’d probably switch to it.

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