In December 2022, New Zealand banned the sale of tobacco to anyone born after January 1st, 2009 for the rest of their lives. This mean that after January 1st, 2027, residents of New Zealand will no longer be able to purchase tobacco products once they turn 18. Some have suggested that it is likely that other countries will soon follow suit with similar legislation.
Between question open, on August 22nd, 2023 and question close on January 1st, 2030, will any UN-recognized country have implemented a total ban on the sale of tobacco products to any resident born after a particular date? A complete ban on tobacco products will also be sufficient for a YES resolution, as this includes prohibition of sales to a subset of the population born after a particular date. Bhutan had previously imposed such a ban, but later repealed it. For this question, a ban that is signed into law after the creation of this question, but repealed before the closing date will still count for a YES resolution.
Resolves NO if no such ban is implemented.
1,000People are also trading
Resolves YES. The market creator has been inactive for 2 years.
All tobacco products
Applies to all born after 1/1/07
UN member state. The other market clarifies that this market means any country aside from New Zealand
Enforced, verification of age required
Became law 11/1/25
Should also apply here:
https://manifold.markets/Gnostic/will-any-country-ban-tobacco-for-th
https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-another-country-pass-a-tobacco
Given how high this market is currently trading, I made a shorter term version as well: https://manifold.markets/Gnostic/will-any-country-ban-tobacco-for-th-0e9a92763d10?r=R25vc3RpYw
@LukeViggers yes, apologies for any confusion. Any country imposing such a ban after the creation of this question.