Will there be an SBF criminal trial?
25
90
470
resolved Nov 2
Resolved
YES

Resolves NO if otherwise settled without trial, or charges pass statue of limitations or etc.

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predicted YES

@Gigacasting resolve YES

predicted YES

@Gigacasting resolves yes

bought Ṁ100 of YES

The trial is currently happening already, no?

bought Ṁ20 of NO

Don't these sorts of cases generally settle?

bought Ṁ20 of NO

@BenjaminIkuta It depends on what you mean by "these sorts of cases." A widely cited statistic is that 2% of federal criminal cases go to trial. This is obviously an exceptional case in many ways. But IMHO 76% is a bit too high for this market.

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