Will SBF testify at his trial?
42
552
790
resolved Oct 27
Resolved
YES

(Pure YES/NO, regardless of trial happening)

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predicted YES

@Gigacasting This can be resolved

bought Ṁ10 of NO

According to a report from the Guardian (Bekiempis, 2023), Bankman-defend Fried's team intends to use the "advice of counsel" defense, which implies that he was unaware of any misconduct because his attorneys failed to inform him of such activities. Testifying could undercut this defense if this is their legal strategy because it could expose him to cross-examination and issues regarding his knowledge and intent. When on the stand, the prosecution may cross-examine Bankman-Fried if he were to testify to interrogate him about his behavior, financial choices, and knowledge of any suspected wrongdoing. 

Bekiempis, V. (2023, October 1). 'Dark' donations, free love and the fall: the Sam Bankman-Fried trial is here. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/sep/30/what-is-sam-bankman-fried-trial-for-new-york-ftx-crypto

if there are two trials, will this cover both or just the current one which started oct 2023?

bought Ṁ100 of NO

psuedo-arb with various markets about whether he will plead guilty. a guilty plea + a trial is very unlikely, so this should be lower than 1 - guilty plea odds

predicted YES

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