Will SBF plead guilty before trial?
34
206
630
resolved Oct 8
Resolved
NO

Before the first day of trial

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Resolving NO. A search shows the trial has started, and while I see a reporter saying "the trial looks like a slow-motion guilty plea", I don't see any mention of a guilty plea before the trial.

bought Ṁ8,663 of NO

Resolve?

predicted NO

https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-sbf-plead-guilty-before-feb-1#xc4dZvqdAawuNCdVVEou

What am I missing ? Trial is set for 2 October, and he cannot plead guilty before then. So why is this so high?

bought Ṁ30 of YES

@Odoacre You can ask for a change of plea hearing at any time. Most federal cases plead not guilty at first then change before trial after the defense has seen required disclosures, can investigate defenses, etc.

bought Ṁ1 of NO