What percent of position digits will be YES?
11
68
190
resolved May 12
Resolved as
75%

At close.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ2
2Ṁ2
3Ṁ1
4Ṁ1
5Ṁ1
Sort by:
predicted YES

Currently there are 4 yes positions with between 10 and 34, 2 yes positions of less than 10 and 1 no position with 33. If it stayed at that, would it resolve as 4*2+2/(5*2+2) = 10/12 = 83.3%.

If so, one extra position of 10 yes would push final result up to 85.7% but an extra position of 10 no would push it down to 71.4% so it is likely to be easier and more profitable to push final outcome towards 50%. However the market is not at 83% it is at 68% so adding just one no bet would lose money.

Seems like people would have to arrange to co-operate to push value down but if they don't, adding yes bets may make sense.

Have I understood this correctly?

predicted YES

2 digit = 2 point

bought Ṁ5 of YES

@Gigacasting so currently it is (5+0)/5=100%?

I dont understand this market

bought Ṁ1 of YES

1 digit = 1 point