
Will the German government declare a state of emergency ("Notlage") for the 2024 budget?
25
Ṁ1kṀ3.1kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the German government declares a state of emergency ("Notlage") to circumvent the debt brake for the 2024 budget. This includes any supplementary budget for the year 2024.
Resolves NO in all other cases.
This is NOT about next year’s budget (2025) that will probably passed before in November or December of this year.
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ183 | |
| 2 | Ṁ107 | |
| 3 | Ṁ74 | |
| 4 | Ṁ18 | |
| 5 | Ṁ15 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
35% chance
Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
43% chance
Will Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?
35% chance
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?
54% chance
Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2026?
47% chance
Will the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election?
55% chance
Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
14% chance
Will Germany formally exceed NATO's 2% GDP defense spending and deploy troops outside Europe by end of 2027?
55% chance