Will Friedrich Merz still be the leader of CDU at the end of 2024?
13
Ṁ1804Dec 31
92%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Some political observers say that he will have to resign after prospective losses in the elections in Saxony, Thuringia and Brandenburg in September.
Recent polls show Merz’s party at 29% (35% AfD, strongest opposition party) in Saxony and 22% (34% AfD) in Thuringia.
https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/
https://amp.dw.com/en/is-germanys-far-right-afd-a-threat-to-democracy/a-67843885
This question will be resolved as soon as Merz announces his resignation or on 1st of January of 2025 if he holds office to that point.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will CDU party leader Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany after the next election in 2025?
70% chance
Will Hendrik Wüst succeed Friedrich Merz as the leader of the CDU?
37% chance
What will be the results of the next German federal election?
Will Alice Weidel still lead the AfD at the end of 2024?
80% chance
Will Olaf Scholz remain chancellor of Germany after the next federal election?
15% chance
Will Olaf Scholz remain the Chancellor of Germany until the end of 2021-2025 term?
85% chance
Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030?
14% chance
Will the current federal government of Germany consist until the next regular elections in fall 2025?
81% chance
Will there be a coalition between the AfD and the CDU in Germany at least at the municipal level by 2025?
16% chance
Who will be the CDU/CSU front-runner for chancellor of Germany 2025?