Will Friedrich Merz still be the leader of CDU at the end of 2024?
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resolved Jan 1
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YES

Some political observers say that he will have to resign after prospective losses in the elections in Saxony, Thuringia and Brandenburg in September.

Recent polls show Merz’s party at 29% (35% AfD, strongest opposition party) in Saxony and 22% (34% AfD) in Thuringia.

https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/

https://amp.dw.com/en/is-germanys-far-right-afd-a-threat-to-democracy/a-67843885

This question will be resolved as soon as Merz announces his resignation or on 1st of January of 2025 if he holds office to that point.

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