Wondering about Manifold's outreach in other countries.
To remain well calibrated it seems beneficial to have locals, or at least people who speak a language and follow specific areas more closely.
Resolves YES if there are at least 20 users who reside in China and who place bets at least once a week.
(As much as I can figure, either by stats page, or asking in a #Chinese channel in discord if there is one by then, or other methods, feel free to advise.)
Sep 2, 2:00pm: Those in Hong Kong or Macau count as half.
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
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1 | Ṁ35 | |
2 | Ṁ24 | |
3 | Ṁ9 | |
4 | Ṁ9 | |
5 | Ṁ7 |
@GeorgeVii, do you plan on only counting users from Hong Kong and Macau (as they are the only places we have accurate stats), or will you estimate the number under the Great Firewall as well?
@RobertCousineau 32 users from Hong Kong who performed at least one DAU action in the last 30 days. Still no way to tell number of users in mainland China given the ban. But we're almost certainly over 20 if you're counting people from HK as half.
@stormtk293 Ah I didn't know this, thanks for the update.
I am mostly interested in mandarin speakers. I will count those in HK & Macau as half a point.
I guess it might be hard to tell if someone is from mainland China then, hmm 🤔
@BTE Afaik, Manifold is not completely banned in China. You can't do any actions, but you can view the entire website.