Will a drone swarm cause havoc in a major city by 2026?
Plus
15
Ṁ5092026
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Either a form of attack, a mishap during a entertainment display, or as part of a distraction campaign. Drones working together (3+ individual drones) cause havoc in some notable way.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@MaximeRiche Just setting a minimum - most likely it would be much bigger - a drone swarm is multiple drones working in communication to accomplish a goal
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a military drone-swarm to drone-swarm dogfight (packfight?) before July 2025?
25% chance
The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Drone Swarm Assassinate a Public Figure by 2040?
74% chance
Will there be a drone terror attack that kills at least 1 person in the United States before 2026?
41% chance
Will a civilian be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
33% chance
[Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
21% chance
Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?
49% chance
Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?
40% chance
Will a politician be assassinated by a Group 1 drone in a WEIRD country before end of Q1 2025?
17% chance
Will a fully autonomous AI-powered US military drone kill a human being without express human direction before 2025?
20% chance